I think people are underestimating So'ton. They have lost some key players but have an experienced manager in Koeman and have bought tidy replacements in Tadic and Pelle.
I think we will win but i do expect them to score. 3-1 or 3-2 to us. I expect goals in this game. Might put down a bet on over 2.5 goals and on both teams to score.
I think +2.5 goals is a good call but I think odds will be about 4/7 or even 1/2. I have stopped betting both teams to score now due to getting more value on +2.5 goals.
The good thing about + 2.5 goals is having both sides playing for you whereas both to score you need a bit more luck.
I used to work in a bookies call centre and one of our quite successful punters told me this. In any game there should be enough chances for 3 goals to be scored. Mistakes are made by defenders and keepers but in reality there should still be enough opportunities.
I always feel happier when weather conditions are good as it allows good teams to pass the ball around and create chances.