Moyes' last 3-4 seasons have followed almost exactly the same pattern
Everton start woefully, pick themselves up mid-way through the season - usually on the back of an unexpected victory agsainst one of the big sides in the league,, get even better in the last 10 or so games and go on to finish 7th or 8th
As good as Moyes is, that's not enough to win manager of the season - unless they win a trophy