Our averaged points per game is so far 25 / 21 = 1,19 points.
17 games left x 1,19 = 20 points.
If You're right then we certainly are in dire straits now. Most of the points we have collected so far came when our form was far better than presently!
The last 6 games we are 3:rd worst with 6 points (2 wins and 6 losses). Only Aston Villa (4 points) and West Brom (3 points) are worse!
Have a look at the form guide here:
Form Guide