How many points do we need to get 4th spot is the main thing. Chelsea won´t lose many games if any.
Nine games left. We have 46 points. We need to get to somewhere around 68 points to have a chance so 22 points out of 27 or 7 wins 1 draw and 1 defeat.
Dont think it works like that, ie, a total of X. Can't see us catching Leicester who are 10 points ahead, so we'll need to take 5 points maybe 6 from Chelsea who are playing better than us, without counting Spurs and the Hammers. So, fair to say we should forget about top 4, not going to happen. Winning the CL on the other hand is in our hands, but close to impossible, but there is always a slim chance in KO games. The club and its owners are getting what they deserve, I hope they at least learn their lesson
Looking at games left and who against I think United are now out of reach, however Leicester and Chelsea I believe are still within reach.
Leicester still have to play:
03/04/21 - Leicester v Man City
11/04/21 - West Ham v Leicester
01/05/21 - Southampton v Leicester
11/05/21 - Man Utd v Leicester
15/05/21 - Chelsea v Leicester
23/05/21 - Leicester v Spurs
I have chosen games where I believe they CAN drop points and that is 6 games from their last 9 games. There's at least 3 defeats amongst those 6 games and some draws. Considering we are 10 points behind if we go on a run from our remaining games, Leicester are well within sight for us.
Chelsea still have to play:
10/04/21 - Crystal Palace v Chelsea (smack in middle of CL games v Porto)
17/04/21 - Chelsea v Brighton (this comes within 4 days of playing 2nd leg CL v Porto - then FA Cup game v City)
24/04/21 - West Ham v Chelsea
08/05/21 - Man City v Chelsea
12/05/21 - Chelsea v Arsenal
15/05/21 - Chelsea v Leicester
23/05/21 - Aston Villa v Chelsea
There's at least 2 potential defeats for Chelsea amongst that lot left even for allowing their current good form. FA Cup and CL participation will distract them.
Liverpool just can't afford to f...cuk up we can maybe afford a draw likely @United but the rest of our games are winnable even allowing for our patched up defence.